<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0186-7210</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Estudios demográficos y urbanos]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Estud. demogr. urbanos]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0186-7210</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[El Colegio de México A.C.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0186-72102007000300731</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24201/edu.v22i3.1278</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Un modelo de migración humana: experimentos numéricos basados sobre los datos de las tres ciudades laguneras]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[A Model of Human Migration: Numerical Experiments Based on the Data of Three Lake Cities]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kalashnikov]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Vyacheslav]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kalashnykova]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Nataliya]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Luévanos Rojas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ramón]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Méndez Muños]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mario]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Uranga]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[César]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Luévanos Rojas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Arnulfo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Monterrey ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,nkalash@fcfm.uanl.mx  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Arquitectura ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af4">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Arquitectura ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af5">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Arquitectura ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af6">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Arquitectura ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2007</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2007</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>22</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<fpage>731</fpage>
<lpage>760</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0186-72102007000300731&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0186-72102007000300731&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0186-72102007000300731&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Se aplica un modelo de migración humana al estudio de crecimiento de población en las tres ciudades aglomeradas en la región Lagunera de México. Se introducen tres tipos de funciones de utilidad para distintos grupos de población, y se investiga un equilibrio con variaciones conjeturales. Los experimentos numéricos basados en datos de las tres ciudades muestran la fuerte influencia de los coeficientes de variaciones conjeturales sobre la actividad migratoria esperada.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract We extend a human migration model and apply it to study the growth of population in three agglomerated cities in the Laguna region in Mexico. Three different types of utility functions for various groups of population are proposed, and a conjectural variations equilibrium is investigated. Numerical experiments demonstrate the strong influence of conjectural coefficients upon the expected migration activity.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo de migración humana]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[equilibrio con variaciones conjeturales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[human migration model]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[conjectural variations equilibrium]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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</article>
