<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0186-1042</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Contaduría y administración]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Contad. Adm]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0186-1042</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Contaduría y Administración]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0186-10422015000600147</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1016/j.cya.2015.05.005</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Recesión en los estados de México: magnitud y causas]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Recession in the Mexican States: magnitude and causes]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Díaz Carreño]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Miguel Ángel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mejía Reyes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Pablo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Erquizio Espinal]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alfredo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ramírez Rodríguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Roberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Sonora Facultad de Economía ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2015</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>60</volume>
<fpage>147</fpage>
<lpage>168</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0186-10422015000600147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0186-10422015000600147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0186-10422015000600147&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Este trabajo analiza el papel del comercio, la estructura de la producción y los flujos de capital en la caída de la producción en los estados mexicanos durante la Gran Recesión mundial de 2007-2009 mediante el uso de un enfoque de regresión no paramétrica. Los resultados sugieren que las variables más relevantes en la explicación de la caída de la producción estatal, utilizando el índice coincidente por entidad federativa (ICE) y el índice de la producción manufacturera (MAN), son los cocientes de la producción de la industria maquiladora y manufacturera (Maq/Man), así como de la producción automotriz y manufactura (A/Man); en tanto que al utilizar el indicador trimestral de la actividad económica estatal (ITAEE) para medir dichas caídas, las variables Maq/Man e indicador de especialización de la producción automotriz (IE-A) resultaron las más adecuadas.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[This paper analyzes the role of trade, output structure and the capital flows on the drop of the output into Mexican states during the Great Recession (2007-2009) by using nonparametric regression approach. The results shows that the main variables that explain the state output drops, measured on the basis of the state coincident index (ICE) and the manufacturing production index (MAN), are the ratios of the "maquiladora" and the automotive production to the manufacturing production (Maq/Man and A/Man, respectively), while when output drops are measured by using the quarterly indicator of the state economic activity (QIEEA), variables such as Maq/Man and the specialization indicator of the automotive production (IE-A) were the most significant explicative variables.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Mexican States]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Great Recession]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Non parametric regression]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Estados de México]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Gran Recesión]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Regresión no paramétrica]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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