<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0185-1616</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Estudios políticos (México)]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Estud. polít. (Méx.)]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0185-1616</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Facultad de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0185-16162017000200081</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Antigüedad del control del gobierno local y efectos electorales indirectos]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Tenure of control of local governments and spillover electoral effects]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Armesto]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandra]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2017</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>41</numero>
<fpage>81</fpage>
<lpage>103</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0185-16162017000200081&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0185-16162017000200081&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0185-16162017000200081&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: Este artículo muestra que la antigüedad en el control partidario del gobierno local tiene un impacto positivo y curvilíneo sobre el rendimiento de los partidos en elecciones federales. Esta propuesta realiza un análisis longitudinal de las elecciones legislativas federales uninominales entre 1991 y 2009 en México. Los estudios acerca de los efectos electorales indirectos del control partidario del gobierno muestran que en democracias recientes, este último tiene un impacto positivo sobre el desempeño de los partidos en elecciones para puestos en otros niveles o ramas de gobierno.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: This article shows that tenure of partisan control of local governments has a positive and curvilinear effect on parties&#8217; performance in federal elections. This result is based on a longitudinal analysis of federal legislative elections between 1991 and 2009 in Mexico. This approach have the idea that studies about the spillover electoral effects of partisan control of government show that in recently democratized countries, such control has a positive impact on parties&#8217; performance in elections for office at different branches or levels of government.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Control partidario del gobierno]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[gobierno local]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[antigüedad en el gobierno]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[desempeño electoral]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[análisis longitudinal]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Partisan control of government]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[local government]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[tenure in government]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[electoral performance]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[longitudinal analysis]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Divided government versus incumbency externality effect-Quasi-experimental evidence on multiple voting decisions]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ade]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Florian]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Freier]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ronny]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[European Economic Review]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>64</volume>
<page-range>1-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Al Ississ]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mohamad]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Atallah]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Samer]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Patronage and Electoral Behavior: Evidence from Egypt First Presidential Elections]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cairo ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[The American University in Cairo]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Bases of Support for Mexico's Dominant Party]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ames]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Barry]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American Political Science Review]]></source>
<year>1970</year>
<volume>64</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>153-67</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Amieva-Huerta]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Mexico]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="editor">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ter-Minassian]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Teresa]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Fiscal Federalism in Theory and Practice]]></source>
<year>1997</year>
<page-range>570-97</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Washington ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[IMF]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Articulações Intrapartidárias e Desempenho Eleitoral no Brasil]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Avelino]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[George]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Biderman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ciro]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Barone]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Leonardo S.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Dados- Revista de Ciencias Sociais]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>55</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>987-1013</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Beck]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Paul A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Party Politics in America]]></source>
<year>1997</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[New York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Longman]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[What Affects Voter Turnout?]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Blais]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[André]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Annual Review of Political Science]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>9</volume>
<page-range>111-25</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Who delivers? Partisan clients in the Argentine electoral market]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Calvo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ernesto]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Murillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[María Victoria]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American journal of political science]]></source>
<year>2004</year>
<volume>48</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>742</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Política electoral y distribución territorial del gasto en Córdoba. 1999-2003]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cingolani]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mónica]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mazzalay]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Víctor]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nazareno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marcelo]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Studia Politicae]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>12</volume>
<page-range>37-64</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cleary]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Matthew R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Stokes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Susan]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Democracy and the Culture of Skepticism: The Politics of Trust in Argentina and Mexico]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[New York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Russell Sage Foundation]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Why did the incumbency advantage in US House elections grow?]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cox]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gary W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Katz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jonathan N.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American journal of political science]]></source>
<year>1996</year>
<volume>40</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>478-97</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Closeness, Expenditures, and Turnout in the 1982 U.S. House Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cox]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gary W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Munger]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Michael C.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The American Political Science Review]]></source>
<year>1989</year>
<volume>83</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>217-31</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chong]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[De la O]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ana]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Karlan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Dean]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wantchekon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Leonard]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Information dissemination and local governments electoral returns, evidence from a field experiment in Mexico]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[New Haven ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Department of Political Science, Yale University]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Partisanship and party system institutionalization]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Dalton]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Russell J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Weldon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Steven]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Party Politics]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>13</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>179-96</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Do Conditional Cash Transfers Affect Electoral Behavior? Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Mexico]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[De la O]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ana L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American journal of political science]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>57</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>1-14</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Marginality and turnout in British general elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Denver]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hands]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gordon H.T.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[British Journal of Political Science]]></source>
<year>1974</year>
<volume>4</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>381-98</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Diaz-Cayeros]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alberto]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Federalism, fiscal authority, and centralization in Latin America]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Cambridge ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Cambridge University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Electoral Balancing in Federal and Sub-National Elections: The Case of Canada]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Erikson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Filippov]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mikhail]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Constitutional Political Economy]]></source>
<year>2001</year>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>313-33</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[A Gubernatorial Helping Hand? How Governors Affect Presidential Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Erikson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Robert S.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Folke]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Olle]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Snyder Jr.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[James M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Journal of Politics]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>77</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>491-504</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Patronage and Elections in U.S. States]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Folke]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Olle]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hirano]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Shigeo]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Snyder]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[James M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American Political Science Review]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>105</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>567-85</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Foweraker]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Joe]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Craig]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Ann L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Popular Movements and Political Change in Mexico]]></source>
<year>1990</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Boulder ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Lynne Rienner Publishers]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Estimating Incumbency Advantage without Bias]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gelman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Andrew]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[King]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gary]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American journal of political science]]></source>
<year>1990</year>
<volume>34</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>1142-64</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Explaining voter turnout: A review of aggregate-level research]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Geys]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Benny]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Electoral Studies]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>25</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>637-63</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[From Patronage to Program The Emergence of Party-Oriented Legislators in Brazil]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hagopian]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Frances]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gervasoni]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carlos]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Moraes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Comparative Political Studies]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
<volume>42</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>360-91</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Machine politics and institutionalized electorates: A comparative analysis of six Duma elections in Bashkortostan]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hale]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Henry E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics]]></source>
<year>1999</year>
<volume>15</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>70-110</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Why Not Parties? Electoral Markets, Party Substitutes, and Stalled Democratization in Russia]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hale]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Henry E.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Comparative Politics]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>147-66</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B27">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Campaigns, Mobilization, and Turnout in Mayoral Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Holbrook]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Thomas M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Weinschenk]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Aaron C.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Political Research Quarterly]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<volume>67</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>42-55</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B28">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Rewarding Lula: Executive Power, Social Policy, and the Brazilian Elections of 2006]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hunter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Wendy]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Power]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Timothy J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Latin American Politics and Society]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>49</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>1-30</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B29">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Patrons and Clients, Jobs and Machines: A Case Study of the Uses of Patronage]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Johnston]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Michael]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American Political Science Review]]></source>
<year>1979</year>
<volume>73</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>385-98</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B30">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Party Mobilization and Political Participation in Old and New Democracies]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Karp]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jeffrey A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Banducci]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Susan A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Party Politics]]></source>
<year>2007</year>
<volume>13</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B31">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Electoral Balancing, Divided Government and &#8216;Midterm&#8217; Loss in German Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Kern]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Holger Lutz]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hainmueller]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jens]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Legislative Studies]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>127-49</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B32">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Modernization, Economic-Crisis, and Electoral Alignment in Mexico]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Klesner]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Joseph L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Mexican Studies-Estudios Mexicanos]]></source>
<year>1993</year>
<volume>9</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>187-223</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B33">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Electoral Competition and the New Party System in Mexico]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Klesner]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Joseph L.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Latin American Politics and Society]]></source>
<year>2005</year>
<volume>47</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>103-42</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B34">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Gubernatorial Coattails in Mexican Congressional Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Magar]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Eric]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Journal of Politics]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>74</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>383-99</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B35">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mainwaring]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Scott]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Party Systems in the Third Wave]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="editor">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Diamond]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Larry]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Plattner]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mark]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Global Resurgence of Democracy]]></source>
<year>2001</year>
<page-range>185-99</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Baltimore ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Johns Hopkins University Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B36">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Manacorda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marco]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Miguel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Edward]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vigorito]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Andrea]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Government Transfers and Political Support]]></source>
<year>2009</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B37">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Government Transfers and Political Support]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Manacorda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marco]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Miguel]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Edward]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vigorito]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Andrea]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American Economic Journal: Applied Economics]]></source>
<year>2011</year>
<volume>3</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>1-28</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B38">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The Downsian Voter Meets the Ecological Fallacy]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Matsusaka]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[John G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Palda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Filip]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Public Choice]]></source>
<year>1993</year>
<volume>77</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>855-78</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B39">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Elecciones de 1988 en México: crisis del autoritarismo]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Molinar Horcasitas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Weldon]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jeffrey A.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Revista Mexicana de Sociología]]></source>
<year>1990</year>
<volume>52</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>229-62</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B40">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Réditos y peligros electorales del gasto público en la Argentina]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nazareno]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marcelo]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Stokes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Susan]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Brusco]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Valeria]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Desarrollo Económico-Revista de Ciencias Sociales]]></source>
<year>2006</year>
<volume>46</volume>
<numero>181</numero>
<issue>181</issue>
<page-range>63-88</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B41">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Targeted Government Spending and Political Preferences]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pop-Eleches]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Cristian]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pop-Eleches]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Grigore]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Quarterly Journal of Political Science]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>7</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>285-320</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B42">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rosenstone]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[S. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hansen]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Mobilization, participation, and democracy in America]]></source>
<year>1993</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[New York ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Macmillan]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B43">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Concurrent Elections, Discordant Results: Presidentialism, Federalism, and Governance in Brazil]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Samuels]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David J.]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Comparative Politics]]></source>
<year>2000</year>
<volume>33</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>1-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B44">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[El partidismo como indicador de reciprocidad democrática]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Sánchez y Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carlos Luis]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Península]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>11</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>127-53</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B45">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Competition and turnout revisited: The importance of measuring expected closeness accurately]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Simonovits]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gábor]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Electoral Studies]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<volume>31</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>364-71</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B46">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The President's &#8216;New&#8217; Constituency: Lula and the Pragmatic Vote in Brazil's 2006 Presidential Elections]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zucco Jr.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Cesar]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Latin American Studies]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<volume>40</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>29-49</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B47">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[When Payouts Pay Off: Conditional Cash Transfers and Voting Behavior in Brazil 2002-10]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Zucco Jr.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Cesar]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[American journal of political science]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<volume>57</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>810-22</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
