<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2007-0934</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Mex. Cienc. Agríc]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2007-0934</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2007-09342014001401913</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Influencia del cambio climático en el desarrollo de plagas y enfermedades de cultivos en Sonora]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Climate change influence on the development of pests and diseases of crops in Sonora]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Grageda Grageda]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ruiz Corral]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[José Ariel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jiménez Lagunes]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alejandro]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fu Castillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Agustín Alberto]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,INIFAP  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Hermosillo Sonora]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,INIFAP  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Tepatitlán Jalisco]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Comité Estatal de Sanidad Vegetal de Sonora  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2014</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>5</volume>
<numero>spe10</numero>
<fpage>1913</fpage>
<lpage>1921</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401913&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401913&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2007-09342014001401913&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen: El calentamiento del sistema climático es claro, así lo demuestran los aumentos del promedio mundial de la temperatura tanto del aire como del océano. Particularmente, los cultivos pueden verse favorecidos por los aumentos de bióxido de carbono atmosférico; que ayudan a optimizar el proceso fotosintético. Sin embargo, un aumento de la temperatura podría generartambién las condiciones propicias para el desarrollo de diversas plagas y enfermedades. Esto podría afectar entre el 12 y el 13% del rendimiento en los ocho cultivos de mayor importancia para la alimentación y la industria, los cuales ocupan más de la mitad de la superficie cultivada en el mundo. En este estudio se caracterizó y cuantificó el impacto del cambio climático sobre las condiciones favorables para la infección de enfermedades como roya de la hoja (Puccinia triticina) y roya lineal (P striiformis f. sp. tritici) en trigo y sobre las poblaciones de la plaga llamada gusano barrenador de la nuez Acrobasis nuxvorella en nogal pecanero. Los datos utilizados fueron los publicados por el grupo interdisciplinario que conforman el Laboratorio Nacional Lawrence Livermore, el Programa deAplicaciones California Nevada, la Central Climática y la Universidad de Santa Clara en Estados Unidos de América. Se utilizaron las salidas de los años 2020 y 2050 para el modelo de circulación general de la atmósfera conocido como ECHAM (http://www.ipcc-data.org/ar4/model-CCCMA-CGCM3_1-T47-change.html). Los mapas de 2010 se hicieron por personal del SIAFESON con datos de la red de estaciones meteorológicas de Sonora (www.agroson.org.mx). Los resultados evidencian un incremento de 100% en los días con condiciones favorables para roya de la hoja (pasando de 60 a 120 días con condiciones favorables). Para la roya lineal, el incremento de la temperatura plantea un escenario no favorable para su desarrollo. En el caso del gusano barrenador de la nuez, se observa un incremento en el número de generaciones (promedio de 5.4 a 6) como una consecuencia clara de un mayor número de unidades calor.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract: Warming of the climate system is clear, as shown by the increase in global average temperature of both air and ocean. Particularly, the crops may be favoured by increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide; that help to optimize the photosynthetic process. However, an increase in temperature could also create proper conditions for the development of various pests and diseases. This could affect between 12 and 13% yield in the eight major crops for food and industry, which occupy more than half of the cultivated area in the world. In this study we characterized and quantified the impact of climate change on the favourable conditions for infection diseases such as leaf rust (Puccinia triticina) and stripe rust (P. striiformis f. sp. Tritici) in wheat and on the pecan nut casebearer (Acrobasis nuxvorella). The data used were those published by the interdisciplinary group comprising the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory of Climate Central, the California Nevada Applications Program, and the University of Santa Clara in United States of America. The outputs of the years 2020 and 2050 for the general circulation model of the atmosphere known as ECHAM (http://www.ipcc-data.org/ar4/model-CCCMA-CGCM3_1-T47-change.html). The 2010 maps were made by staff of SIAFESON, using data from the network of meteorological stations of Sonora (www.agroson.org.mx). The results show an increase of 100% on days with favourable conditions for leafrust (from 60 to 120 days with favourable conditions). For the stripe rust, the temperature increase makes an unfavourable development. In the case of the pecan nut casebearer, there was an increase in the number of generations (average 5.4 to 6) as a clear consequence of a larger number of heat units.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Acrobasis nuxvorella]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Puccinia striiformis]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Puccinia triticina]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[enfermedad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[temperatura]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[trigo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Acrobasis nuxvorella]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Puccinia triticina]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Puccinia striiformis]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[disease]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[temperature]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[wheat]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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