<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1870-5766</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Península]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Península]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1870-5766</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Centro Peninsular en Humanidades y Ciencias Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1870-57662022000200079</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22201/cephcis.25942743e.2022.17.2.83526</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Determinantes de la participación electoral en la frontera sur de México]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Determinants of electoral turnout on the southern border of Mexico]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Triana Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge Luis]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Ciencias y Artes de Chiapas Centro de Estudios Superiores de México y Centroamérica ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>17</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>79</fpage>
<lpage>107</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1870-57662022000200079&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1870-57662022000200079&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1870-57662022000200079&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen En el presente artículo se analizan los factores determinantes de la participación electoral en estados de la frontera sur de México. Se somete a comprobación el efecto de variables sugeridas por la literatura sobre las tasas de votación en comicios para la renovación de ayuntamientos en los años 2000, 2005, 2010 y 2015, en los estados de Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo y Tabasco, mediante la estimación de modelos de regresión de respuesta fraccional tipo Probit. Los resultados muestran efectos negativos en el margen de victoria, el número de candidatos, la educación y la migración; mientras que el margen de ventaja del segundo lugar y el ámbito rural tuvieron efectos positivos; finalmente, el nivel de marginación presentó un efecto en forma de U invertida.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract In this article the determining factors of electoral turnout in states of the southern border of Mexico are analyzed. It tests the effect of variables suggested by literature on voting rates in local elections for the renovation of town halls in the years 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015, in the Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo and Tabasco, by means of the estimation of Probit-type fractional response regression models. The results show negative effects on the margin of victory, the number of candidates, education, and in migration, while the margin of advantage of the second place and the rural ambit had positive effects. Finally, the level of marginalization presented an inverted U-shaped effect.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[democracia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[elecciones locales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[tasas de votación]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[democracy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[local elections]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[voting rates]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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