<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0188-3380</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Economía: teoría y práctica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Econ: teor. práct]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0188-3380</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, a través de la Unidad Iztapalapa, la Unidad Azcapotzalco y la Unidad Xochimilco, División de Ciencias Sociales]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0188-33802022000100131</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.24275/etypuam/ne/562022/benavides</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Trade between the U.S. and Mexico (1990-2017)]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Impacto de la volatilidad del tipo de cambio en el comercio agrícola entre Estados Unidos y México (1990-2017)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Benavides Perales]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Guillermo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Venegas Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Francisco]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Panamericana  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto Politécnico Nacional  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Mexico</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>56</numero>
<fpage>131</fpage>
<lpage>153</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0188-33802022000100131&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0188-33802022000100131&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0188-33802022000100131&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Objective: this paper assesses the impact of exchange rate volatility on the trade of corn and wheat between the U.S. and Mexico during the 1990-2017 period, which encompasses both the 1994 and 2008 Mexican exchange rate crises. Methodology: the exports function is first modeled through an Error Correction Model (ECM), with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression (FAVAR) model subsequently applied for robustness analysis. Findings: the exchange rate variability has no statistically significant influence on corn and wheat spot price variability. The results may be attributable to the volume of international trade flows in both commodities. Finally, the exchange rate variability has a statistically significant influence on the futures basis of corn but not wheat. Limitations: since no monthly data is available, prices for the agricultural products are based on monthly averages obtained from daily data of corn and wheat spot prices. Practical implications: the results obtained are consistent with one part of the specialized literature, which argues that exchange rate volatility does not affect agricultural trade. Social implications: improving understanding of the effect of the exchange rate on corn and wheat trade between Mexico and the U.S. is crucial, since corn is a fundamental part of the diet in Mexico and wheat in the U.S. Originality: as far as we know, no research has analyzed the effect of the exchange rate on cereal trade in these two countries during 1990-2017 with the economic techniques we use.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El objetivo de trabajo es evaluar el impacto de la volatilidad del tipo de cambio en el comercio de maíz y trigo entre Estados Unidos y México durante el periodo 1990-2017. Durante ese periodo se observaron crisis cambiarias mexicanas en 1994 y 2008. En términos metodológicos, se modela la función de exportaciones a través de un Modelo de Corrección de Errores (ECM) y, posteriormente, para un análisis de robustez, se aplica un modelo de Autorregresión Vectorial Aumentada Factorial (FAVAR). Entre los principales hallazgos destaca que la variabilidad del tipo de cambio no tiene una influencia estadísticamente significativa sobre la variabilidad del precio spot del maíz y el trigo. Los resultados pueden atribuirse al volumen de los flujos comerciales internacionales de ambos productos básicos. Finalmente, la variabilidad del tipo de cambio tiene una influencia estadísticamente significativa sobre la base de futuros del maíz, pero no del trigo. Dentro de las limitaciones de la metodología propuesta, y dado que no existen datos mensuales observados, los precios de los productos agrícolas consisten en promedios mensuales obtenidos de los datos diarios de precios spot del maíz y el trigo. Lo cual es una variable construida. Se considera que las implicaciones prácticas es que los resultados obtenidos son consistentes con una parte de la literatura especializada, que sostiene que la volatilidad del tipo de cambio no afecta el comercio agrícola. En lo referente a las implicaciones sociales, se detalla la comprensión del efecto del tipo de cambio en el comercio de maíz y trigo entre México y EE. UU. Esto último es crucial, ya que, el maíz es una parte fundamental de la dieta en México y el trigo a su vez en EE. UU. En lo referente a la originalidad y, hasta donde sabemos, no hay ninguna investigación que analice el efecto del tipo de cambio en el comercio de los granos en estos dos países durante 1990-2017 con las técnicas económicas que utilizamos.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Agricultural markets]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[exchange rate]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[econometric analysis]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Mercados agrícolas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[tipo de cambio]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[volatilidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[análisis econométrico]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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