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Mercados y negocios

versión On-line ISSN 2594-0163versión impresa ISSN 1665-7039

Merc. negocios vol.24 no.48 Zapopan ene./abr. 2023  Epub 10-Feb-2023

https://doi.org/10.32870/myn.vi48.7690 

Indicadores financieros y económicos

Financial and economic indicators. Break-even point

1Universidad de Guadalajara (México) jgaytan@cucea.udg.mx


The break-even point is one of the most used tools when carrying out financial analysis in order to make the most appropriate business decisions, the calculation and result of this tool is used to determine the economic amount in sales and the volume of units of products or necessary services to cover operating expenses and variable costs, showing its result that there is no profit or loss in the business activity, thus achieving the operating break-even point.

The calculations necessary for profitability are made based on the assumption of the expected normal level of operations of a project, which is why the calculation considers the normal use of installed capacity, but the entrepreneurs know that normal capacity is rarely used, or total in the actual operations of the Project. The uncertainty related to internal supply and external demand forces entrepreneurs to ask themselves: What happens if the project is not executed at the assumed capacity level? Will the project be in a position to at least recover its costs? Among others, these risk-induced questions motivate the calculation of the breakeven point (Satya & Deshpande, 1982).

The historical background of the break-even point as a tool that is part of the financial analysis for decision-making in organizations can be found in an accumulation of works carried out by various authors, highlighting the following among others:

Henry Hess (1903), who graphically raised the relationship between utility, cost, volume and price, capturing it through the "crossing point graph" (cross over chart).

Knoeppel & Seybold (1918) reflected in his book, Graphic Production Control, the classification between fixed and variable costs of the company. Until the 1960s some authors still referred to this representation as: Knoeppel graph.

Walter Rautenstrauch (1930), in his book: The Successful Control of Profits, uses the name break-even point to describe the relationships of cost, volume, price and profit. In his book too, he gives a detailed explanation of its use for decision-making in the company.

In the investigation carried out by Fordon (1951), mention is made of the Graph of Results (profit-volume graph). As a consequence of this graph, in the 1970s the denomination began to be used: Palanca Operativa (Operating Leverage), named after its similarity of the graph with a lever.

At present, in financial analysis and in decision-making by organizations, the break-even point tool is used very frequently in its classification as operational break-even point and financial break-even point.

The operating break-even point is a financial ratio used to measure the degree of operating leverage that a company has. The objective of the calculation of the operating break-even point is to determine the amount of sales or income sufficient to cover the fixed operating expenses and the variable costs in a project or an organization.

The financial break-even point is a financial ratio that is used to measure the degree of financial leverage that a company has. The objective of calculating the financial break-even point is to determine the amount of sales or income sufficient to cover fixed expenses, variable costs and the cost or interest generated by the debt contracted to support the tangible and intangible investments in a project or a company. organization.

Economic and financial indicators are useful tools that benefit organizations by facilitating timely and appropriate decision-making in relation to their corporate and financial strategies.

Next, the evolution of some economic and financial indicators of the Mexican environment is described and shown to facilitate decision-making related to personal and business strategies in an integral manner.

  1. National Consumer Price Index (INPC, Spanish)

  2. The Price and Quotation Index of the Mexican Stock Exchange (IPC, Spanish)

  3. Exchange rate

  4. Equilibrium interbank interest rate (TIIE, Spanish)

  5. CETES rate of return

  6. Investment units (UDIS, Spanish)

1. NATIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (INPC)

Born in 1995 and reflecting changes in consumer prices, measures the general increase in prices in the country. It is calculated fortnightly by the Bank of Mexico and INEGI (2022). INPC is published in the Official Gazette of the Federation on the 10th and 25th of each month. The reference period is the second half of December 2010.

Table 1 Accumulated inflation in the year (Base: 2nd. Fortnight of December 2010 = 100 with data provided by Banco de México) 

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 1.48 0.77 0.98 0.79 0.90 -0.09 0.38 1.70 0.53 0.09 0.48 0.86 0.59
Febrero 2.15 1.42 1.47 1.46 1.15 0.09 0.82 2.29 0.91 0.06 0.90 1.50 1.43
Marzo 2.52 1.84 1.55 1.99 1.43 0.51 0.97 2.92 1.24 0.44 0.85 2.34 2.43
Abril 1.98 0.72 0.69 1.81 1.24 0.25 0.65 3.04 0.90 0.50 -0.17 2.67 2.98
Mayo 0.60 -0.70 -0.65 0.95 0.91 -0.26 0.20 2.92 0.73 0.21 0.22 2.88 3.17
Junio 0.49 -0.41 -0.41 1.12 1.09 -0.09 0.31 3.18 1.12 0.27 0.76 3.43 4.04
Julio 0.56 -0.04 0.32 1.14 1.42 0.06 0.57 3.57 1.66 0.65 1.43 4.04 4.81
Agosto 0.91 0.30 0.92 1.31 1.73 0.27 0.86 4.08 2.26 0.63 1.82 4.24 5.54
Septiembre 1.27 0.73 1.12 1.61 2.18 0.27 1.47 4.41 2.69 0.89 2.06 4.88 6.19
Octubre 2.35 2.33 2.12 2.77 2.74 1.16 2.09 5.06 3.22 1.44 2.68 5.76 6.79
Noviembre 3.89 4.87 3.86 4.57 3.57 1.71 2.89 6.15 4.10 2.26 2.76 6.97 7.41
Diciembre 4.19 5.81 3.97 5.21 4.08 2.13 3.36 6.77 4.83 2.83 3.15 7.36 7.82

Source: Own elaboration (INEGI, 2022). Route: Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Índices de precios >Índice nacional de precios al consumidor. Base segunda quincena de julio de 2018=100 > Mensual > Índice > Índice general

Source: Own elaboration (INEGI, 2022). Route: Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Índices de precios > Índice nacional de precios al consumidor. Base segunda quincena de julio de 2018=100 > Mensual > Índice > Índice general

Graph 1 Inflation in Mexico (2010-2022 accumulated at the end of the year) 

Source: Own elaboration (INEGI, 2022). Route: Indicadores económicos de coyuntura > Índices de precios > Índice nacional de precios al consumidor. Base segunda quincena de julio de 2018=100 > Mensual > Índice > Índice general

Graph 2 Inflation in Mexico (accumulated January-December 2022)  

2. THE PRICE AND QUOTATION INDEX OF THE MEXICAN STOCK EXCHANGE (IPC)

Represents the change in the values traded on the Mexican Stock Exchange concerning the previous day to determine the percentage of rising or fall of the most representative shares of the companies listed therein.

Table 2 The Price and Quotation Index of the Mexican Stock Exchange (Base: October 1978, 0.78=100)  

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 30,392 36,982 37,422 45,278 40,879 40,951 43,631 47,001 50,456 43,988 44,862 42,986 51,331
Febrero 31,635 37,020 37,816 44,121 38,783 44,190 43,715 46,857 47,438 42,824 41,324 44,593 53,401
Marzo 33,266 37,441 39,521 44,077 40,462 43,725 45,881 48,542 46,125 43,281 34,554 47,246 56,537
Abril 32,687 36,963 39,461 42,263 40,712 44,582 45,785 49,261 48,354 44,597 36,470 48,010 51,418
Mayo 32,039 35,833 37,872 41,588 41,363 44,704 45,459 48,788 44,663 42,749 36,122 50,886 51,753
Junio 31,157 36,558 40,199 40,623 42,737 45,054 45,966 49,857 47,663 43,161 37,716 50,290 47,524
Julio 32,309 35,999 40,704 40,838 43,818 44,753 46,661 51,012 49,698 40,863 37,020 50,868 48,144
Agosto 31,680 35,721 39,422 39,492 45,628 43,722 47,541 51,210 49,548 42,623 36,841 53,305 44,919
Sep. 33,330 33,503 40,867 40,185 44,986 42,633 47,246 50,346 49,504 43,011 37,459 51,386 44,627
Oct. 35,568 36,160 41,620 41,039 45,028 44,543 48,009 48,626 43,943 43,337 36,988 51,310 49,922
Nov. 36,817 36,829 41,834 42,499 44,190 43,419 45,286 47,092 41,733 42,820 41,779 49,699 51,685
Dic. 38,551 37,077 43,706 42,727 43,146 42,998 45,643 49,354 41,640 43,541 44,067 53,272 48,464

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022).

https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=7&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF57&locale=es

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=7&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF57&locale=es

Graph 3 The Price and Quotation Index of the Mexican Stock Exchange, 2010 - 2022 (Score at the end of each year)  

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=7&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF57&locale=es

Graph 4 The Price and Quotation Index of the Mexican Stock Exchange, January-December 2022 (Score at the end of each month) 

3. EXCHANGE RATE

It is the value of the Mexican peso with respect to the dollar calculated with the daily average of the five most important banks in the country, which reflects the spot price (cash), negotiated between banks. It is highly related to Inflation, the interest rate, and the Mexican Stock Exchange.

Table 3 Exchange rate (National currency per US dollar, parity at the end of each period)  

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 12.81 12.02 12.95 12.71 13.37 14.69 18.45 21.02 18.62 19.04 18.91 20.22 20.74
Febrero 12.96 12.17 12.87 12.87 13.30 14.92 18.17 19.83 18.65 19.26 19.78 20.94 20.65
Marzo 12.61 11.97 12.80 12.36 13.08 15.15 17.40 18.81 18.33 19.38 23.48 20.44 19.99
Abril 12.24 11.59 13.20 12.16 13.14 15.22 19.40 19.11 18.86 19.01 23.93 20.18 20.57
Mayo 12.68 11.63 13.91 12.63 12.87 15.36 18.45 18.51 19.75 19.64 22.18 19.92 19.69
Junio 12.72 11.84 13.66 13.19 13.03 15.57 18.91 17.90 20.06 19.21 23.09 19.91 20.13
Julio 12.83 11.65 13.28 12.73 13.06 16.21 18.86 17.69 18.55 19.99 22.20 19.85 20.34
Agosto 12.73 12.41 13.27 13.25 13.08 16.89 18.58 17.88 19.07 20.07 21.89 20.06 20.09
Septiembre 12.86 13.42 12.92 13.01 13.45 17.01 19.50 18.13 18.90 19.68 22.14 20.56 20.09
Octubre 12.45 13.20 13.09 12.89 13.42 16.45 18.84 19.15 19.80 19.16 21.25 20.53 19.82
Noviembre 12.33 14.03 13.04 13.09 13.72 16.55 20.55 18.58 20.41 19.61 20.14 21.45 19.40
Diciembre 12.40 13.99 13.01 13.08 14.72 17.21 20.73 19.79 19.68 18.87 19.91 20.47 19.47

NOTE: Exchange rate FIX by The Banco de México, used for settle obligations denominated in foreign currency. Quote at the end

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022).

https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=6&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF102&locale=es

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=6&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF102&locale=es

Graph 5. Exchange rate (National currency per US dollar, 2010-2022, FIX parity at the end of 100 each year)  

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=6&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF102&locale=es

Graph 6 Exchange rate (National currency per US dollar, January-December 2022, FIX parity at the end of each month)  

4. EQUILIBRIUM INTERBANK INTEREST RATE (TIIE)

On March 23, 1995, the Bank of Mexico, to establish an interbank interest rate that better 101 reflects market conditions, released the Interbank Equilibrium Interest Rate through the Official Gazette of the Federation.

Table 4 Equilibrium interbank interest rate (28-day quote)  

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 4.91 4.86 4.79 4.84 3.78 3.29 3.56 6.15 7.66 8.59 7.50 4.47 5.72
Febrero 4.92 4.84 4.78 4.80 3.79 3.29 4.05 6.61 7.83 8.54 7.29 4.36 6.02
Marzo 4.92 4.84 4.77 4.35 3.81 3.30 4.07 6.68 7.85 8.51 6.74 4.28 6.33
Abril 4.94 4.85 4.75 4.33 3.80 3.30 4.07 6.89 7.85 8.50 6.25 4.28 6.73
Mayo 4.94 4.85 4.76 4.30 3.79 3.30 4.10 7.15 7.86 8.51 5.74 4.29 7.01
Junio 4.94 4.85 4.77 4.31 3.31 3.30 4.11 7.36 8.10 8.49 5.28 4.32 7.42
Julio 4.92 4.82 4.78 4.32 3.31 3.31 4.59 7.38 8.11 8.47 5.19 4.52 8.04
Agosto 4.90 4.81 4.79 4.30 3.30 3.33 4.60 7.38 8.10 8.26 4.76 4.65 8.50
Sep. 4.90 4.78 4.81 4.03 3.29 3.33 4.67 7.38 8.12 8.04 4.55 4.75 8.89
Octubre 4.87 4.79 4.83 3.78 3.28 3.30 5.11 7.38 8.15 7.97 4.51 4.98 9.56
Noviembre 4.87 4.80 4.85 3.80 3.31 3.32 5.57 7.39 8.34 7.78 4.48 5.13 10.00
Diciembre 4.89 4.79 4.85 3.79 3.31 3.55 6.11 7.62 8.60 7.55 4.49 5.72 10.53

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022).

https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=18&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF101&locale=es

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=18&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF101&locale=es

Graph 7 Equilibrium interbank interest rate, 2010- 2022 (at the end of each year)  

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=18&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF101&locale=es

Graph 8. Equilibrium interbank interest rate, January-December 2022 (28-day quote)  

5. CETES RATE OF RETURN

Table 5 CETES rate of return (28-day)  

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 4.49 4.14 4.27 4.15 3.14 2.67 3.08 5.83 7.25 7.95 7.04 4.22 5.50
Febrero 4.49 4.04 4.32 4.19 3.16 2.81 3.36 6.06 7.40 7.93 6.91 4.02 5.94
Marzo 4.45 4.27 4.24 3.98 3.17 3.04 3.80 6.32 7.47 8.02 6.59 4.08 6.52
Abril 4.44 4.28 4.29 3.82 3.23 2.97 3.74 6.50 7.46 7.78 5.84 4.06 6.68
Mayo 4.52 4.31 4.39 3.72 3.28 2.98 3.81 6.56 7.51 8.07 5.38 4.07 6.90
Junio 4.59 4.37 4.34 3.78 3.02 2.96 3.81 6.82 7.64 8.18 4.85 4.03 7.56
Julio 4.60 4.14 4.15 3.85 2.83 2.99 4.21 6.99 7.73 8.15 4.63 4.35 8.05
Agosto 4.52 4.05 4.13 3.84 2.77 3.04 4.24 6.94 7.73 7.87 4.50 4.49 8.35
Sep. 4.43 4.23 4.17 3.64 2.83 3.10 4.28 6.99 7.69 7.61 4.25 4.69 9.25
Oct. 4.03 4.36 4.21 3.39 2.90 3.02 4.69 7.03 7.69 7.62 4.22 4.93 9.00
Nov. 3.97 4.35 4.23 3.39 2.85 3.02 5.15 7.02 7.83 7.46 4.28 5.05 9.70
Dic. 4.30 4.34 4.05 3.29 2.81 3.14 5.61 7.17 8.02 7.25 4.24 5.49 10.01

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022).

https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=22&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF107&locale=es

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=22&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF107&locale=es

Graph 9 CETES rate of return 2010- 2022 (at the end of each year)  

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?sector=22&accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CF107&locale=es

Graph 10 CETES rate of return, January-December del 2022 (at the end of each month)  

6. INVESTMENT UNITS (UDIS)

The UDI is a unit of account of constant real value to denominate credit titles. It does not apply to checks, commercial contracts, or other acts of commerce.

Table 6 Investment units (value concerning pesos)  

Periodo 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Enero 4.37 4.56 4.73 4.89 5.10 5.29 5.41 5.62 5.97 6.25 6.44 6.64 7.12
Febrero 4.41 4.57 4.75 4.92 5.13 5.29 5.43 5.69 6.00 6.25 6.46 6.70 7.18
Marzo 4.44 4.59 4.75 4.94 5.15 5.30 5.44 5.71 6.02 6.26 6.49 6.75 7.24
Abril 4.46 4.59 4.75 4.97 5.15 5.32 5.45 5.75 6.03 6.28 6.43 6.79 7.31
Mayo 4.43 4.58 4.71 4.96 5.13 5.29 5.42 5.75 6.01 6.27 6.42 6.81 7.33
Junio 4.41 4.55 4.74 4.95 5.13 5.28 5.42 5.75 6.01 6.26 6.44 6.83 7.36
Julio 4.42 4.57 4.77 4.95 5.14 5.28 5.42 5.76 6.04 6.27 6.49 6.87 7.43
Agosto 4.43 4.58 4.78 4.95 5.16 5.29 5.44 5.79 6.07 6.29 6.52 6.90 7.47
Sep. 4.44 4.59 4.80 4.97 5.18 5.31 5.45 5.82 6.11 6.29 6.55 6.92 7.53
Oct. 4.47 4.61 4.83 4.99 5.20 5.33 5.49 5.84 6.13 6.31 6.57 6.97 7.57
Nov. 4.50 4.64 4.85 5.02 5.23 5.36 5.53 5.89 6.17 6.35 6.60 7.04 7.62
Dic. 4.53 4.69 4.87 5.06 5.27 5.38 5.56 5.93 6.23 6.39 6.61 7.11 7.65

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022).

https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CP150&locale=es

Source: Own elaboration (BANXICO, 2022). https://www.banxico.org.mx/SieInternet/consultarDirectorioInternetAction.do?accion=consultarCuadro&idCuadro=CP150&locale=es

Graph 11 Investment units 2010-2021 (At the end of the year)  

Finally, we will mention that the analysis tool known as the break-even point can be calculated under two scenarios 1) a project or an organization with a single product or service and 2) for an organization or project with multiple products or services. taking as reference the mix of products or services.

REFERENCES

BANXICO. (2022). Sistema de Información Económica. Mexico: Banco de México. Link: http://www.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/bie/ Links ]

Fordon, J. (1951). Profit Variations. The Accounting Review, 26(4), 574-576. http://www.jstor.org/stable/242222Links ]

Hess, H. (1903). Manufacturing: Capital, Cost, Profit and Dividends. Engineering Magazine, 1, 892-898. [ Links ]

INEGI. (2022). Banco de Información Económica. Mexico: Instituto Nacional de Geografía y Estadística. Link: http://www.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/bie/Links ]

Rautenstrauch, W. (1930). The successful control of profits. New York: Forbes [ Links ]

Satya P., & Deshpande, J. (1982). Break-Even Point. Economic and Political Weekly, 17(48), 123-128. [ Links ]

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