Abstract

SALAS, Carlos; QUINTANA, Luis; MENDOZA, Miguel Ángel  and  VALDIVIA, Marcos. Distribution of the labor income and poverty in Mexico during COVID-19 pandemic. Scenarios and potential impacts. El trimestre econ [online]. 2020, vol.87, n.348, pp.929-962.  Epub Mar 05, 2021. ISSN 2448-718X.  https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v87i348.1148.

In this article we estimate the probable magnitude of changes in income distribution, poverty and extreme poverty in the country, in the metropolitan areas of the Valley of Mexico, Guadalajara and Monterrey, as well as in Mexico City, according to different behavioral hypothesis of labor income, based on information available until the start of the pandemic, which considers the closures of so-called non-essential activities and their impact on specific occupations. The pandemic stroke in the context of an incipient process of real wages and employment growth, which began in 2019, and our results show that the slowdown in activities derived from the health emergency, both in Mexico and in the world, caused an increase in poverty and extreme poverty, in addition to the growth of inequality measured by the Gini index.

Keywords : Income distribution; poverty; extreme poverty; occupation; labor income; regional analysis; D31; I32; R11.

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