Resumo

FUENTES, Noé Arón et al. Economic impacts of climate change based on a systemic approach. Rev. econ. [online]. 2017, vol.34, n.89, pp.9-41. ISSN 2395-8715.

Baja California joined a group of 12 Mexican entities that have concluded with the elaboration of the State Program of Action for Climate Change (Programa Estatal de (PEACC-BC in Spanish). However, in the report, studies of sectoral economic impacts include the direct effects of climate change (CC), but exclude indirect effects and (interdependencies) dynamic (feedback). The objective is to integrate all economic impacts attributable to CC in a Regional Multisectoral Dynamic Simulation Model (MRMSD) conceptually based on a Systemic Approach and methodologically supported in System Dynamics. The extension of the modeling shows that the total adverse effects of CC are between two and three times higher than the direct effects, which points out the importance of developing instruments that enable the estimation of the total effects of the deterioration of the environment at the regional level.

Palavras-chave : input output; regional development; dynamic simulation.

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