Abstract

RODRIGUEZ CHAVEZ, Oscar. Violence Effects on Municipal Internal Emigration Rates in Mexico: 1995-2015. Migr. Inter [online]. 2021, vol.12, rmiv1i12045.  Epub Oct 25, 2021. ISSN 2594-0279.  https://doi.org/10.33679/rmi.v1i1.2045.

This article explores the relationship between the increase of violence in Mexico and the rising level of internal municipal emigration before, during, and after the so-called Mexican Drug War, which started in 2007. Through a linear regression and multinomial logistic models, it is shown that violence has had a positive and significant effect on the increase of internal emigration rates, particularly in municipalities with the highest internal emigration rates during the 2005-2010 period. In addition, the effect of violence tends to be greater on female emigration rates compared to males. This indicates the increase of forced internal displacement in Mexico due to violence in recent years. However, more studies are needed to shed light on forced displacement and the effects of high violence levels on internal and international migration.

Keywords : 1. internal migration; 2. violence; 3. drug trafficking; 4. municipalities; 5. Mexico.

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