Resumo

MENDOZA-GONZALEZ, Miguel Ángel  e  VILLAGRA-PINA, Alberto. Effects of Covid-19 and people mobility constraint on addictive consumption of cigarettes in Mexico, 2005-2020. Rev. mex. econ. finanz [online]. 2021, vol.16, n.3, e645.  Epub 02-Maio-2022. ISSN 2448-6795.  https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v16i3.645.

The aim of this research paper is to analyze the impact of Covid-19 and the restriction of the mobility of people on cigarette consumption in Mexico. For this purpose, fmols cointegration models with endogeneity and structural change are used to identify myopic or rational behaviors in accordance with the Rational Addiction Theory. The results show that the prices and stressful events are the main determinant of cigarette consumption. It is recommended to regulate the tobacco prices. This implies that social distancing and the restriction of the mobility of people have increased consumption of cigarettes. The scope of this research limits to consider other variables like the job loss. The originality of this work is to take in consideration stressful events like Covid-19. The main conclusion is that the increase in the relative prices of cigarettes prior to pandemic conditions and the income shock are the leading cause of the reduction in sales of cigarette packs during the health and economic crisis in 2020.

Palavras-chave : Covid-19; People mobility constraints; addictive consumption of cigarettes; price elasticity; income shock; Mexico; rational addiction.

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