Resumo

GARDUNO-ESPINOSA, Juan et al. A look from health services to the nutrition of Mexican childhood: III. Economic and health burden of Mexican childhood obesity. Long-term projections. Bol. Med. Hosp. Infant. Mex. [online]. 2008, vol.65, n.1, pp.49-56. ISSN 1665-1146.

Objective. To estimate the economic and health burden of childhood obesity in Mexican population over the long term. This study estimates healthcare costs due to child obesity in Mexican children from 2006-2050. A hypothetic 5-11-year-old obese cohort based on prevalence, incidence, and clinical development data was modelled. Cost allocation considerations include type 2 diabetes mellitus and high blood pressure. The first cases of diabetes mellitus and with a risk of high blood pressure appears in the year 2015. When the first group of children is 40 years old, there is a considerable increase in obesity-related complications. A total of 67.3% of the cohort would have obesity in the year 2050. The cost of obesity care would be $57 678 million Mexican pesos. The magnitude of obesity reported is at worrisome levels in all age groups, showing costs that would consume a high percentage of the health system’s resources.

Palavras-chave : Childhood obesity; costs; type 2 diabetes mellitus; high blood pressure; neuropathy; nephropathy; retinopathy; acute myocardial infarct; stroke.

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