Abstract

CHACKIEL, Juan. Latin America: Towards a decreasing and old population?. Pap. poblac [online]. 2006, vol.12, n.50, pp.37-70. ISSN 2448-7147.

As in the 20^th century Latin America was characterized mainly by the transition of the fecundity and morbidity, the 21^st century will be characterized by growth's deceleration and the population's change of age structure, both tending to an older society. It is foreseen that, by the middle of the current century, adult population will have a growth very close to zero and a quarter of its population will be of elder people. Here this stage is analyzed in the framework of coexistence of countries in different stages of the demographical transition. Particularly, certain characteristics of the aging are emphasized: larger feminine and older population representation, as well as the optimistic and pessimistic visions of the tendency of the demographical dependence relation. In any way, in many countries of recent and accelerated transition there is still an important demand of mother-child population services, this will be added to the elder growing population.

Keywords : demographical transition; population's growth's population; structure by age; demographical aging; Latin America.

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