Abstract

VILALTA PERDOMO, Carlos Javier. The Opposition Vote to Periferico's Second Floor. Gest. polít. pública [online]. 2007, vol.16, n.2, pp.381-420. ISSN 1405-1079.

This study presents (1) the geography of the opposition vote to a major transportation construction project in Mexico City and (2) a discussion of its possible causal mechanisms. It contains a revision of previous studies, a description of the project and the referendum results, and another description of the spatial and non-parametric statistical methods applied. The analysis shows the presence of geographic and socioeconomic explanations for the vote of opposition. In geographical terms, it was found that opposition was larger, in average and variance, in the areas surrounding the project. In terms of socioeconomic explanations, it was found that higher income areas tended to oppose the project, whereas poorer areas tended to accept it. It was also detected a negative correlation between the PRD local government vote and the vote of opposition to the project, yet this finding requires further elaboration.

Keywords : political opposition; public participation; voting behavior; statistical analysis; political geography.

        · abstract in Spanish     · text in Spanish     · Spanish ( pdf )