Abstract

GOMEZ VILCHIS, Ricardo R.. Crime perception and Presidential evaluation in Mexico. Perf. latinoam. [online]. 2013, vol.21, n.42, pp.31-53. ISSN 0188-7653.

How important are citizen perceptions of an increase in crime rate when they evaluate the President? This article uses Mexico as a case study to examine the relationship between perception of crime and citizen grading of the President. The research uses 11 national surveys from 1994 to 2006 to analyze the effects of perception of crime on citizen grading of the President before and after the 2000 presidential election. The main proposition is that, after the 2000 political transition, perception of crime, together with other economic variables, becomes more relevant and has stronger effects when citizens evaluate the President due to an increase of their expectations of the Executive's competence.

Keywords : Political alternation; citizens' grading of the President; crime; democracy; Mexico; transition.

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