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Estudios demográficos y urbanos

On-line version ISSN 2448-6515Print version ISSN 0186-7210

Abstract

MENDOZA-GONZALEZ, Miguel Ángel; CRUZ-CALDERON, Selene Fabiola  and  VALDIVIA-LOPEZ, Marcos. Levels and sub-levels of extreme precariousness in Mexico: A methodology of groups with orderly working conditions. Estud. demogr. urbanos [online]. 2020, vol.35, n.2, pp.405-448.  Epub June 30, 2020. ISSN 2448-6515.  https://doi.org/10.24201/edu.v35i2.1784.

This research focuses on jobs with extremely precarious working conditions, identified as being on the extreme poverty line due to their (precarious) income and being heterogeneous with respect to five additional precarious working conditions: no union, a precarious working day, no benefits or social security and precarious contracts. In order to analyze the heterogeneity, a group methodology was used to identify levels and sub-levels, numerically arranged from least to greatest extreme labor precariousness. Pooled probit models were also estimated, arranged by levels and sub-levels of extreme labor precariousness, explained by a set of labor market and context variables, with the aim of developing simulations to measure the marginal effects on changes in the likelihood of occurrence, by level and sub-level of extreme job precariousness. The most important results show that in 2018, 2.6 million workers had extreme job precariousness. Their behavior is linked to unemployment in Mexico, while extreme job precariousness with the highest probability of occurrence was found when conditions of extremely precarious income, contracts and working hours, with no social security, existed.

Keywords : level and sub-level of extreme job insecurity; working market; ordered pooled Probit model; Mexico.

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