SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

 
vol.59 número1Riesgos potenciales de salud por consumo de agua con arsénico en Colima, MéxicoOrgan donation and transplantation in Mexico. A transplantation health professionals’ perspective índice de autoresíndice de materiabúsqueda de artículos
Home Pagelista alfabética de revistas  

Servicios Personalizados

Revista

Articulo

Indicadores

Links relacionados

  • No hay artículos similaresSimilares en SciELO

Compartir


Salud Pública de México

versión impresa ISSN 0036-3634

Resumen

MORENO-BANDA, Grea Litai et al. Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz. Salud pública Méx [online]. 2017, vol.59, n.1, pp.41-52. ISSN 0036-3634.  https://doi.org/10.21149/8414.

Objective:

To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level.

Materials and methods:

We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca region in México, over a 10 year period (January 1995 to December 2005). Negative binomial models with distributed lags were adjusted to look for associations between changes in the weekly incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability.

Results:

Our results show that it takes approximately six weeks for sea surface temperatures (SST -34) to affect dengue incidence adjusted by weather and social variables.

Conclusion:

Such models could be used as early as two months in advance to provide information to decision makers about potential epidemics. Elucidating the effect of climatic variability and social variables, could assist in the development of accurate early warning systems for epidemics like dengue, Chikungunya and Zika.

Palabras llave : dengue; disease vectors; El Nino-southern oscillation; climate; time series studies.

        · resumen en Español     · texto en Inglés     · Inglés ( pdf )