Resumo

ZAVALA ECHAVARRIA, Iván. Los sustentos sociales de los tres candidatos mayores en la elección presidencial de 2006. Rev. mex. cienc. polít. soc [online]. 2006, vol.48, n.198, pp.51-75. ISSN 0185-1918.

This paper analyzes the social factors of the 2006 Mexican presidential election. The primary source is the database of the Reformds ext poll. The independent variables are: gender, age, income, occupation, schooling and religion. The dependent variable is the vote for each candidate. The techniques are the contingency tables, simple and multiple logistic regressions, and correspondences analyses. Calderón obtained its greater supports among the young people, higher-income people, the professionals, the supervisors and clerks; the higher education people and the Catholics. The greater supports for Lopez were among the men, the maiden, the average income people, the workers, the instructors, the mobile retailers and salesmen, the students and the professionals; the highereducation people, and non-religious people. The greater electoral sustenance of Madrazo was among the agriculture workers, the lower-income people, the housewives, and the industrial workers; the people with any or little schooling; and the Protestants.

Palavras-chave : México; elecciones; Calderón; López; Madrazo; sociología electoral; sexo; edad; ingreso; ocupación; escolaridad; religión; regresión logística; análisis de correspondencias.

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